Portrait | The ex-bus driver driving his country over a cliff

WHO IS NICOLÁS MADURO MOROS?

Portrait | The ex-bus driver driving his country over a cliff

The people of Venezuela must now convince the rest of the world that their president did not really win the recent election, says WILLEM KEMPEN.

NICOLÁS MADURO MOROS – to use his full name, which in the Spanish tradition includes his mother's surname – started stealing Venezuela's recent presidential election long before the contrived result was announced on July 28.

More than a year ago, Maduro ensured that the name of probably the country's most popular politician, the charismatic and outspoken María Corina Machado Parisca, would not appear on the ballots. In fact, she is barred from holding any public office for the next 14 years.

The official reason for the ban was that Machado and her Vente Venezuela party support US sanctions against Venezuela. The real reason is that Maduro is a dictator who does not tolerate opposition and knew Machado would defeat him in a free and fair election.

Opposition candidate Edmundo González, left, and President Nicolás Maduro.
Opposition candidate Edmundo González, left, and President Nicolás Maduro.

With Machado out of the picture, the opposition alliance fielded former diplomat Edmundo González Urrutia against Maduro. Although few voters outside diplomatic circles had heard of him, in the weeks before the election he attracted up to three times as much support as Maduro in some opinion polls.

The moment the official results gave Maduro 52% of the votes and González 43%, thousands of Venezuelans realised the election had been stolen. They angrily took to the streets, with the nearest statue of Hugo Chávez, Maduro's predecessor, role model and mentor, being a popular target.

According to one source, Venezuela has as many as 17 statues or busts of Chávez in public places. All of them were erected after his death from cancer in 2013, and against his express wishes. In 2008, he said in an interview: “I beg you, do not put my name on anything. No, no, no! No Hugo Chávez avenue, no Hugo Chávez bridge. No, for God's sake, it only brings bad luck. Such structures should rather be named after the heroes of our independence."

But when Maduro took over, he disregarded that plea. He began to elevate his deceased predecessor to almost mythological status: Chávez was, after all, the father of the “Bolívarian Revolution" in 1999, named after Simón Bolívar, the 19th century hero of Venezuelan independence from colonial Spain. Maduro and his supporters still refer to themselves as “Chavistas"; Chávez was the “supreme leader" who had continued Bolívar's struggle.

Protesters' attacks on Chávez statues in recent weeks are thus aimed as as much at Maduro as at his predecessor's legacy. But what exactly is that legacy?

Nationalisation of the oil industry was an important part of Chávez's revolution, and thanks to good international oil prices at the time, ordinary Venezuelans initially experienced a dramatic improvement in their standard of living. Per capita income quadrupled, but it has since fallen back to less than it was before 1999. Nationalisation was beneficial in the short term but too little money was reinvested in the oil industry. As a result, production has declined from 3.5 million barrels a day in 1999 to just over 800,000.

Combined with centralised economic management, overspending on large and corrupt state institutions, and poor monetary policy, the result has been runaway inflation and economic chaos.

Between them, Chávez and Maduro have left more than 80% of Venezuelans trapped in poverty. And this is in a country with the largest proven oil reserves, more than 300 billion barrels. Venezuela's only other noteworthy export products are cocaine and illegal immigrants to countries such as Colombia, Chile and the US. The annual murder rate in Caracas is close to 100 per 100,000 inhabitants. Shortages of food, medicine and other basic goods have become commonplace, and Venezuela is now nothing more than just another failed military dictatorship.

Yet Maduro's regime has bought Russian weaponry worth more than $20 billion in recent years, and he knows he cannot remain in power without the support and loyalty of the generals. Although he was never a soldier, he often appears in military uniform and even camouflage battle dress.

While Chávez was a tank commander and paratrooper, Maduro is still sometimes mocked for having started his working life as a bus driver in Caracas. As an employee of the capital's bus service, he became a union leader, attracting Chávez's attention. He later became Chávez's parliamentary leader, foreign minister and eventually vice president.

Thousands of Venezuelans have taken to the streets since July 28 to show their anger at the official election result.
Thousands of Venezuelans have taken to the streets since July 28 to show their anger at the official election result.

The UN estimates that almost 8 million people – more than a fifth of the population – have fled Venezuela since Maduro took over from Chávez as president in 2013. Now that Maduro has been “re-elected", unrest, suppression of the opposition and the outflow of refugees are expected to increase even further.

Maduro accuses Machado, González and other opposition leaders of conspiring with the US in an “imperialist plot" to overthrow him. They have also released a set of “alternative results" which they claim reflect the true vote count and show that González comfortably defeated Maduro.

Last week, Machado, who is not allowed to leave the country, wrote in a letter to The Wall Street Journal that she expects to be arrested at any moment: “[I am] fearing for my life, my freedom, and that of my fellow countrymen from the dictatorship of Nicolás Maduro."

The international community is divided on whether to side with or against Maduro's election fraud. Openly in Maduro's camp are countries such as Russia, China, Iran, Nicaragua, Bolivia, Cuba, Honduras and Madagascar. Brazil, Mexico and Colombia are less enthusiastic and are pressing Maduro to allow a proper investigation of the election numbers. Among countries openly questioning the results are not just the predictable Western powers but also Chile and its young leftist president, Gabriel Boric (who, by the way, is also a leader to watch in other respects.)

The South African government had not made its position clear at the time of writing.

Meanwhile, Maduro continues efforts to consolidate his power. He has vowed to restore the damaged statues of Chávez. In the meantime, some of the statues are under round-the-clock surveillance by Venezuela's revolutionary guard to prevent them from being targeted by again.

With no sign of the Venezuelan uprising subsiding, Maduro may one day yearn for the days when guarding statues was deemed a priority for his soldiers.

♦ VWB ♦


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